Trade Intermediaries and Production Networks ( 貿易仲介と生産ネットワーク)
This research aims to investigate the role of trade intermediaries within production networks and global sourcing disruptions. Adopting a network perspective, exploring how firms respond to disruptions and the contributions of trade intermediaries to sourc ing strategies. By integrating China Customs Data (CCD), China Industrial Enterprises Data (CIED), Listed Firms Supplier-Customer Data (SCD), and World Bank’s Anti-Dumping Data (ADD) this four databases, I will create a firm- product-origin dataset from 2001 to 2014 to analyze relationships between producers, suppliers, and intermediaries. Then using Staggered DID to examine the impact of shocks on firm sourcing performance and the role of trade intermediaries; and building a computable model for deeper analysis of these mechanisms and conducting counterfactual analysis to assess the effects without trade intermediaries or import restrictions. The study examines how AD affect firms’ import behaviors, comparing firms that are impacted by shocks with those that are not and looks at the use of intermediaries. This study anticipates deriving two primary conclusions: firstly, firms respond to supply risk by modifying the number of suppliers and the approach to importing intermediate goods; secondly, trade intermediaries serve as a buffer in the transmission of su pply risk. By this study, it can fill a significant gap in the literature by exploring the role and novel value of trade intermediaries within trade production networks, particularly as buffers in global production networks, beyond mere cost reduction. In addition, these findings can aid governments in le ading to more effective export restriction policies and overall trade strategy formulations, enhancing the resilience and stability of global networks.
